The 2014 NFL season is quickly approaching and for the paranoid fantasy players like myself, it means Sundays full of refreshing your web browser and watching a game just because Stephen Gostkowski needs three field goals so you can win your match up. Well, follow these tips, and you won’t need that drama in your life. Today, we’re talking quarterbacks.
The Best Bet, Tom Brady (NE): Let’s start this thing off with a little controversy! Well, not really. But this is more than a process of elimination or classical conditioning. Tom Brady’s going to have a good fantasy year. Last year he posted 15.1 points per game — good for 13th among quarterbacks. Those aren’t the numbers fantasy owners are used to with Brady. With a bolstered defense, look for the Patriots’ offense to be on the field a lot more, and with a short field more often. Brady will have his red zone target, tight end Rob Gronkowski, back, and most likely bring the team’s 58.11% red zone efficiency back to their 2012 range of 67.50%. More touchdowns mean more points. Brady’s your guy.
Don’t Draft, Geno Smith (NYJ): Well, I shouldn’t say “ don’t.” If you’re in a hipster league where points only count every other week, do draft Geno Smith. One of the weirder fantasy stories last year was Geno Smith’s alternating week success. Disregarding the week 10 bye, here are Geno’s every-other scores: 14, 24, 21, 20, 11, 2, 21, 26. Hey, that’s not bad! Better average than Tom Brady! The other-every-other weeks: 3, 7, 4, 2, -4, -1, 12, 17. Unless you hate consistency and/or scoring points, stay away from Geno Smith, who might lose his starting job sooner than you think.
The Sexy Sleeper, Michael Vick (NYJ): It wouldn’t be a fantasy season without jumping on the Michael Vick bandwagon. Knowing Rex Ryan and the Jets, there’s going to be a quarterback competition and there’s going to be controversy. Vick has been in this position before, and although he’s older than he was in 2010 when he won the starting job from Kevin Kolb in Philadelphia, Geno’s Smith’s no Kevin Kolb (and that’s saying something). Vick’s still a dual-threat player who can steal points late with a rushing touchdown. Grab Michael Vick late if you can.
Anthony Vitale is an NFL writer for TPF and can be contacted at AVitale@ThePenaltyFlagBlog.com